Guarantor Panel

Guarantor Panel

October 27, 2023

Chairman of the Strategic Research Centre (SAM) at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Nuh Yılmaz, highlighted the potential of a guarantor system to assist regional countries in helping the State of Palestine establish itself as a real and tangible state. During a panel titled "The Palestine-Israel Conflict and the Guarantor Model," Dr. Yılmaz emphasized the harm the Israel-Palestine conflict causes to the region's security and Turkey's interests. He suggested that guarantorship could encourage both the security of Israel and Palestine, convincing Israel to continue negotiations.

The panel, organised by SAM, included discussions on the diplomatic relations between Turkey and Israel, with Yılmaz noting Turkey's efforts over the past 2.5 years towards normalisation, which were disrupted by recent conflicts. The panel addressed the international energy crisis and trade route projects, underscoring the need for a structural approach to the conflict.

Yılmaz mentioned that while there is consensus on the 1967 borders among Israelis and Palestinians, including Hamas's eventual acceptance in 2017, progress is stalled. He pointed out that the challenge lies not in agreement but in implementation, introducing the concept of a guarantor system as a proposed solution.

The panelists deliberated on the use and scope of guarantorship, proposing its potential for upholding ceasefires or peace agreements among states, as well as safeguarding the rights of minorities or partial statuses of states from other states. The guarantor system aims to resolve existing international disputes or conflicts, potentially requiring a strong, decisive, capable, and deterrent guarantor, with Turkey being a suitable candidate for Palestine due to its cultural, historical, and religious ties.

We highlighted the need for a regional coalition, including countries like Jordan, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia, suggesting that Arab countries should enhance their deterrence. Additionally, European countries like Spain and Italy could contribute to the solution. The discussion also touched upon the importance of timing in international negotiations, the roles of third parties, support, and assistance in motivating parties to negotiate, particularly Israel, underscoring the need for a change in the Israeli government for negotiations to commence.